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Post by Exposgm on Jul 10, 2010 15:09:11 GMT -5
Here are the predictions for April 15, 1984.
AL East: Baltimore: 0% Boston: 11% New York: 0% Detroit: 7% Toronto: 82%
As it stands, the Red Sox, Tigers and Blue Jays are all predicted to win between 86 and 87 games, which means it’s probably going to be very tight in the AL East until late in the year. Toronto has taken the early lead and their pitching staff is looking awesome at this point. Detroit and Boston have started slowly and both teams are waiting for their hitting to wake up. Baltimore and New York shouldn’t be a factor again this year. Both have decent lineups but their pitchers aren’t up to the task. The Yankees, in particular, have the worst start in the league after losing 11 games in a row.
AL Central: Chicago: 0% Cleveland: 17% Kansas City: 0% Milwaukee: 6% Minnesota: 77%
1984 was announced as a transition year in Cleveland and it very well could be so. The Indians do have a shot at the postseason, but could also finish pretty much anywhere between first and fourth place, although fourth would be pretty unlikely. Ken Henderson is gone, Rusty Staub is retired and Cleveland is looking up to its youngsters, so a big part of their season will depend on how well these rookies play. The early favorite in the AL Central are the Twins, off to an excellent 10-4 start. Minnesota has everything needed to be on top this year, so will need to avoid injuries and off-years from key players. The Brewers are also going to have their word to say, but have already lost starter Dave Stewart for a month. Any of these three teams could take the division, or finish in second or even in third place.
AL West: California: 15% Texas: 0% Seattle: 85% Oakland: 0%
It’s looking good early on for the Mariners, but they have in memory the recent 1983 campaign during which the Angels, who looked out of it at times, came back from behind to win the division. It’s going to be a close battle once again between these two teams, and whoever finishes short of the division will stand a serious shot at the wildcard spot. The Rangers aren’t supposed to be a factor for the moment, but they are improved over last year and should be seriously contending in the near future. As for the A’s, the only thing we can be certain of this season is their last place finish.
NL East: Montreal: 2% New York: 0% Philly: 37% St. Louis: 61%
Only 2 games separate first of last place right now in the NL East, but it shouldn’t remain this close for long. Philadelphia and St. Louis are expected to fight for the division once again. Rookie Kevin McReynolds could make the difference here, if he puts up the type of numbers he is capable of in his first season. The Phillies will score a lot of runs, but still have some questions mark in the rotation. As for the Expos, the sim tool seems to believe they have a tiny shot at pulling it off, but much like R2-D2, sim tools have been known to make mistakes from time to time. Montreal has more chances of finishing last than first, but third place should be the most probable position in their case.
NL Central: Atlanta: 42% Chicago: 0% Cincinnati: 45% Pittsburgh: 13%
Despite having one of the scariest lineups around, the Cubs seem to once again be out of it as they stand no shot at the division or the wildcard right now. If anything, this pleads in favor of pitching: they so much lack good pitching that the All-Star hitters they have from the top to the bottom of the order isn’t enough to help them keep up with the rest of the division. Speaking of the rest of the division, the Reds are off to the best start in the NL, and the pitching has been insane so far, with a combined 2.19 ERA. Pittsburgh and Atlanta are right behind, but the Pirates lost one of their best starters for a month. One of these 3 teams will miss the playoffs, but once again, it is pretty likely that the Wildcard will come from this division. The only sure thing is that it won’t come from the NL West.
NL West: Houston: 0% Los Angeles: 94% San Diego: 3% San Francisco: 3%
It would be a heck of a surprise if the Dodgers didn’t run away with their division this year. The Padres and Giants have some good players, but count more holes than the Dodgers do, and probably won’t be giving L.A. much of a challenge. The Dodgers have a strong pitching staff and their hitting is looking better than ever before. They have a very good chance of putting up the best season in a long time, perhaps even finish with the best record in the NL. As for the Astros, it’s like the A’s: a lock for last place.
Chances at the WildCard:
AL: California: 39% Cleveland: 18% Seattle: 10% Milwaukee: 8% Boston: 8% Minnesota: 7% Detroit: 4% Toronto: 3% Texas: 3%
NL: Philadelphia: 29% Atlanta: 24% Pittsburgh: 18% Cincinnati: 16% St. Louis: 13%
Add your chance at the division to your chance at the wildcard, and you have your chance to make the playoffs this season.
World Series Titles: Seattle-31 Minnestota-12 Toronto-11 St.Louis-11 Los Angeles-9 Philadelphia-6 Cincinnati-6 Atlanta-5 California-2 Pittsburgh-2 Cleveland-2 Milwaukee-1 Boston-1
**Again, missing 1 World Series: it probably melted in this week’s heat wave or something...
Awards:
AL MVP: Rickey Henderson (CAL)--41% NL MVP: Dale Murphy (PHI)--50%
AL Cy Young: Rick Langford (MIN)--28% NL Cy Young: Roger Miller (CIN)—21%
AL ROY: Mike Davis (KC)--59% NL ROY: Kevin McReynolds (STL)-68%
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Post by Exposgm on Jul 12, 2010 22:15:52 GMT -5
Here are the predictions for April 30, 1984.
AL East: Baltimore: 0% Boston: 16% New York: 0% Detroit: 5% Toronto: 79%
Toronto’s pitching staff had some troubles during the last sim but the hitters are red hot as the Jays lead the AL in runs scored and batting average (an impressive .316). Only four games separate first from fourth place right now, but only the Blue Jays are playing well lately. The Tigers are currently predicted for a third place finish and according to the sim too, Detroit has more chances of finishing in fourth place than in first or second combined. Injuries to relievers Alejandro Pena and Pat Perry won’t help. The Yankees are off to a 5-20 start which is still better than the Astros at this point. Their 2 rookie starters, Sid Fernandez and Richard Dotson, have a combined 0-9 record.
AL Central: Chicago: 1% Cleveland: 9% Kansas City: 0% Milwaukee: 7% Minnesota: 83%
Chicago makes its appearance here in the predictions, but what caught our attention even more was the Tribe’s chances being cut in half. The Twins have improved their shot at the division as they are playing extremely well lately and they hold a 3.5 game lead over the second-place Indians. Chicago and Kansas City should do better than last season, but are experiencing some offensive difficulties early on.
AL West: California: 6% Texas: 0% Seattle: 94% Oakland: 0%
Hottest team in the AL right now, the Mariners have won 16 of their last 20 games and currently own the league’s best record. The Angels are also playing well and are right behind only 3 games back. Seattle lost the services of 3B Carney Lansford for the next two weeks, so that could slow them down a bit. The pitching staff has been amazing so far, as starters #2 to #5 combine for an incredible 15-1 record, and the entire team for a 2.82 ERA. The Rangers and Athletics are already out of the race and will stay in the cellar the rest of the way.
NL East: Montreal: 1% New York: 0% Philly: 49% St. Louis: 50%
Philadelphia has claimed back the lead after a 7 game winning streak that was synchronized with a Cardinals 6 game losing streak. Philly’s lead is currently of 2 games on St. Louis and 2.5 on Montreal. For the moment, only the Phillies are playing well, which is reflected here in the predictions. This could still go any way, but if the Cards want to stay in the race all year, some of their pitchers will need to recover form. Last two weeks ago for the Wildcard, the Cardinals have taken the lead during this sim.
NL Central: Atlanta: 35% Chicago: 3% Cincinnati: 47% Pittsburgh: 15%
The Cubs have won their last 11 games to make their way into the predictions although still in a discreet way. The Reds are also playing well and have taken the lead, but with only 4.5 games separating first from last, everything could change again next sim. Every team in this division is playing well lately and each team has a shot at the playoffs, either as the division winner or as the wildcard. Braves 1B Bob Adams has gone down for a month with an injury, but backup Dan Meyer has been doing great and the team could also rely on prospect Glenn Davis if needed.
NL West: Houston: 0% Los Angeles: 98% San Diego: 1% San Francisco: 1%
Los Angeles increased its lead over the Padres to 4.5 games. The Dodgers are the only NL West team playing well lately. The division isn’t won yet because San Diego or San Fransisco could cause a surprise, so LA needs to avoid long bad streaks. Interestingly enough, the Dodgers lead the NL teams in terms of World Series titles over 100 sims. Worst team in the league, the Astros have lost 14 games in a row and 17 in 20, off to one of the most awful starts ever in TMBL with 3 wins against 23 losses. Tom Hausman has the only win among starters and also owns the rotation’s best ERA at 5.08. Could this team lose to its own minor league teams? It’s highly probable.
Chances at the WildCard:
AL: California: 43% Cleveland: 17% Milwaukee: 13% Boston: 7% Minnesota: 7% Toronto: 6% Seattle: 5% Detroit: 1% Texas: 1%
NL: St. Louis: 25% Philadelphia: 22% Pittsburgh: 20% Cincinnati: 18% Atlanta: 13% Chicago: 2%
Add your chance at the division to your chance at the wildcard, and you have your chance to make the playoffs this season.
World Series Titles: Seattle-34 Minnestota-18 Toronto-10 Los Angeles-9 St.Louis-8 Cincinnati-6 Philadelphia-4 Atlanta-4 California-2 Pittsburgh-2 Cleveland-1 Milwaukee-1 Boston-1
Awards:
AL MVP: Eddie Murray (SEA)--47% NL MVP: Dale Murphy (PHI)--67%
AL Cy Young: Rick Langford (MIN)--22% NL Cy Young: Roger Miller (CIN)—33%
AL ROY: Mike Davis (KC)--67% NL ROY: Kevin McReynolds (STL)-70%
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Post by Exposgm on Jul 15, 2010 20:42:12 GMT -5
Here are the predictions for May 15, 1984.
AL East: Baltimore: 0% Boston: 22% New York: 0% Detroit: 6% Toronto: 72%
Even though they’re playing only for .500 over their last 20 games, the Red Sox are the AL East that improved their chances the most over the last sim. They find themselves in an unusual spot, in fourth place, but are only 3 games back. The Blue Jays continue to lead here in the predictions, but it is the Tigers who show the best projected record. Both teams continue to face health issues: Toronto lost RF Glenn Wilson and RP Dave Smith, but the most serious injury occurred to Tigers 2B Tom Herr who will miss 7 weeks with a hip injury. Fortunately for Detroit, the team acquired 2B Manny Trillo from the Reds last month, which should help them stay in the race despite the injury to Herr. Baltimore is off to a surprising start and have the best staff ERA in the division, but at 4.37, that is still above league average for the AL. But so close after a month and a half means anything could happen, as we have seen it in the past with some teams. As for the Yankees, they won 8 games only so far. Those that thought the Bronx Bombers were on their way up a couple of seasons ago need to find themselves a new medium or at least tell her to change the batteries in her crystal ball.
AL Central: Chicago: 0% Cleveland: 4% Kansas City: 0% Milwaukee: 5% Minnesota: 91%
Winners of 14 of their last 20 games, the Twins have increased their lead in the AL Central to 6.5 games over Milwaukee and 7 games over Cleveland. RF Jeff Burroughs currently leads the AL with 40 RBI in as many games. The Indians have won their last 4 games, but will need to do without 3B Kevin Collins for a couple of weeks. The White Sox and Royals are tied for fourth or fifth place, depending on the angle you look at it, some 12.5 games out. Batters 4-5-6 in Kansas City are struggling tremendously, with respective batting marks of .210, .216 and .185.
AL West: California: 7% Texas: 0% Seattle: 93% Oakland: 0%
The Mariners have continued their hot streak and show only 9 losses after a month and a half. However, leadoff hitter Willie Wilson suffered a knee injury and will miss two weeks. Also playing great early this season as opposed to last year, the Angels are only 4 games back. California remains the wildcard leader thanks to a 4 game lead against Detroit but also leads this area here in the predictions. Rickey Henderson leads the AL in homeruns and runs scored, but his teammates Kent Hrbek and Tony Armas are just 1 homerun behind. In fact, the entire top 5 in homeruns consists of players from both the Indians and Angels teams.
NL East: Montreal: 0% New York: 0% Philly: 61% St. Louis: 39%
The red hot Philadelphia Phillies have not only won their last 6 games, but also 17 of their last 20 contests, thus increasing their lead over the Cardinals to 5.5 games. Everyone else in the division is losing plenty of ball games lately, and the red birds record even dropped below .500. Kevin McReynold’s troubles at the plate have gotten him benched against righties. With all this, the Phillies improved quite a bit on their chances in the predictions. The Cardinals are not out of it yet, but they need to shake things up before it’s too late. The good news is they’re still right there for the wildcard spot.
NL Central: Atlanta: 40% Chicago: 1% Cincinnati: 39% Pittsburgh: 20%
Things have continued to get closer in the NL Central where only 3.5 games now separate first from last. The Reds remain in first place, but have lost the lead in the predictions for the divisional wins, although they trail the Braves by the smallest of margins. Everyone keeps playing well, so injuries are going to play a big role. The Reds lost lefty starter Dan Schatzeder for 2 weeks, while the Braves saw their 2B Phil Garner break a foot on May 2. It’s going to take a while for someone to break free of the rest of the division here.
NL West: Houston: 0% Los Angeles: 100% San Diego: 0% San Francisco: %0
Wrapped up, thank you, goodbye, see you next year. With 15 wins in their last 20 games, and with the Padres losing 6 in a row, the Dodgers have become the first team in TMBL to obtain 100% to win their division here in the predictions. Doing it as early as mid-may, it’s not only because the competition in the NL West is nonexistent, but also because the Dodgers really are doing well. Tied with Cincinnati for the NL’s best record, leading the National League with 95 projected wins, LA is doing most of it thanks to the best pitching staff out there. Great start also for 3B Terry Pendleton who is hitting .367 so far, the Dodgers are certainly pleased with C Bill Schroeder’s start as well (.262, 9 HR, 26 RBI).
Chances at the WildCard:
AL: California: 44% Cleveland: 21% Milwaukee: 11% Boston: 5% Minnesota: 5% Detroit: 5% Toronto: 4% Seattle: 4% Chicago: 1%
NL: Cincinnati: 23% St. Louis: 22% Atlanta: 21% Philadelphia: 17% Pittsburgh: 15% Chicago: 1% San Fransisco: 1%
Add your chance at the division to your chance at the wildcard, and you have your chance to make the playoffs this season.
World Series Titles: Seattle-30 Minnestota-20 Los Angeles-12 Atlanta-10 Cincinnati-6 St.Louis-5 California-5 Toronto-4 Philadelphia-4 Pittsburgh-2 Milwaukee-1
**Again, one World Series has been lost on the way. Our sources tell us it could have been stolen by Shoeless Joe Jackson’s ghost. But our sources could be that medium referred to earlier...
Awards:
AL MVP: Rickey Henderson (CAL)--52% NL MVP: Dale Murphy (PHI)--67%
AL Cy Young: Ken Schrom (MIN)--36% NL Cy Young: Roger Miller (CIN)—41%
AL ROY: Mike Davis (KC)--78% NL ROY: Kevin McReynolds (STL)-62%
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Post by boobiegibson4three on Jul 15, 2010 21:27:50 GMT -5
i would have bet the yankees would be pretty darn good right now...i still think that team is 2 starters away, and a bullpen guy from being a force...
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Post by Exposgm on Jul 20, 2010 20:53:37 GMT -5
Here are the predictions for May 30, 1984.
AL East: Baltimore: 0% Boston: 1% New York: 0% Detroit: 9% Toronto: 90%
“Oyoyoyoye” would say Benoît Brunet, (mediocre) hockey analyst, when looking at the downfall of the Boston Red Sox here in the predictions. Sitting at a respectable 22% only a sim ago, the Red Sox have gone down to a slim 1% shot in only two weeks. Boston is playing below .500 and more in range for fourth place than for first or second. One would have that the Tigers and Blue Jays would have split what was lost by the Red Sox, but it mostly went to Toronto. The Blue Jays saw their own chances at the division raise all the way up to 90%. It is true that they are playing well right now, leading the division by one game. But the Tigers are doing even better with 15 wins in their last 20 games. Sadly, it hasn’t reflected here in the predictions, but there is still plenty of ball to be played. The Orioles have lost 8 in a row and have released former star Hal King, batting only .172 with no homeruns and only 5 RBI in 29 games this season.
AL Central: Chicago: 0% Cleveland: 3% Kansas City: 0% Milwaukee: 5% Minnesota: 92%
The hottest team in the division right now has got to be the Indians who won 15 of their last 20 games, which sets them in second place some 5.5 games back of the mighty Twins. The Brewers are only 1.5 games behind the Indians. This looks again like it could be a three team race in this division, with these teams also involved in the wildcard race. The Royals lost two former first overall picks to injuries: LF Barry Bonds suffered a strained ankle while Randy Johnson sprained a finger.
AL West: California: 11% Texas: 0% Seattle: 89% Oakland: 0%
The Angels have continued to play well and got within only half a game of the Seattle Mariners. But for the next stretch, the Angels will be without their ace Barry Cort who broke a finger. Even though the simulator heavily favors the Mariners, the game engine instead projects the Angels to finish with 2 more wins between the two teams. Texas lost 6 games in a row and 14 of its last 20 games, but Oakland has been even worst with 17 losses in that same stretch.
NL East: Montreal: 1% New York: 0% Philly: 73% St. Louis: 26%
Once again, only the Phillies have been playing well in this division, which has allowed them to increase their lead to a full nine games. The Cardinals have dropped 12 of their last 20 games and are now tied with the Expos, which isn’t good for their postseason hopes. The pitching is still experiencing difficulties, and only one of the Cardinals starters has a winning record at this point. As for the Mets, they lost their best starter, Mike Maddux, to a shoulder injury. Maddux is the only starter in that rotation to have an ERA below 5.50.
NL Central: Atlanta: 15% Chicago: 3% Cincinnati: 63% Pittsburgh: 19%
Even though they have won 12 of their last 20 games, the Braves have lost an impressive 25 points here in the predictions. Most of these were grabbed by the Reds who now look like they’re in control, at least according to the sim tool. They do lead the Pirates by 4.5 games, the Braves by 5.5 and the Cubs by 7 games. However, Cincinnati lost 1B Andres Galarraga to a shoulder separation. The Pirates will also have to play a few games without 3B John Castino. Anything could still happen here, but the next few weeks will be crucial to some teams.
NL West: Houston: 0% Los Angeles: 100% San Diego: 0% San Francisco: %0
The Dodgers not only lost their last 3 games, but outfielder Warren Cromartie as well. He went down with a shoulder injury that will keep him out of the lineup for another 3 weeks. L.A. is yet again the only NL West team playing well lately, as indicates their 13 wins in the last 20 games. The Padres are hovering around .500, which is respectable, but 81 wins will no longer be enough in this division. The Giants lost 4 games in a row as well as a couple of pitchers to injuries, but aren’t in danger of catching up with the lowly Astros. Houston is 10-42 and their pitchers are getting rocked. Bill Gullickson is 0-8, Gil Patterson is 0-6, closer Steve Olin saved only 2 games and has 8 blown saves already, and Mike Madden has a sky-high 14.88 ERA in 26 innings. Unsurprisingly, only 12k on average attends the sad displaying that is being put on the field at the Astrodome.
Chances at the WildCard:
AL: California: 49% Cleveland: 22% Milwaukee: 8% Seattle: 7% Detroit: 6% Minnesota: 5% Boston: 2 Toronto: 1%
NL: Pittsburgh: 27% Atlanta: 23% Cincinnati: 22% St. Louis: 14% Philadelphia: 8% Chicago: 5% Montreal: 1%
Add your chance at the division to your chance at the wildcard, and you have your chance to make the playoffs this season.
World Series Titles: Minnestota-34 Seattle-22 Toronto-12 Los Angeles-10 Cincinnati-6 Philadelphia-4 California-3 Atlanta-2 St.Louis-2 Cleveland-2 Detroit-2 Pittsburgh-1
Awards:
AL MVP: Eddie Murray (SEA)--43% NL MVP: Dale Murphy (PHI)--90%
AL Cy Young: Ken Schrom (MIN)--38% NL Cy Young: Roger Miller (CIN)—43%
AL ROY: Mike Davis (KC)--67% NL ROY: Kevin McReynolds (STL)-79%
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Post by Exposgm on Jul 27, 2010 20:14:06 GMT -5
Here are the predictions for June 15, 1984.
AL East: Baltimore: 0% Boston: 10% New York: 0% Detroit: 6% Toronto: 84%
Even though the Tigers have jumped ahead by half a game in the division, the simulator has chosen the Red Sox as the team improving the most its chances at the division. It is true that Boston has played well lately, the only AL East team with a winning record over their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have lost a bit of tempo and fell in second place. Injuries have hit the Orioles who lost 15 of their last 20 games, which pushed them back to 8.5 games. The Yankees are playing somewhat better, but not enough to get back either in the divisional or the wildcard race.
AL Central: Chicago: 0% Cleveland: 7% Kansas City: 0% Milwaukee: 1% Minnesota: 92%
The Twins refuse to give their opponents the break they would need to get back in the race and so continue to be favored by a wide margin here in the predictions. Minnesota won 15 of its last 20 games. However, the Indians and Brewers are also playing well, which is keeping them within reasonable range from first place, but both teams probably stand a better shot at the wildcard. The White Sox and Royals aren’t doing much at this point and will finish respectively fourth and fifth in this division.
AL West: California: 15% Texas: 0% Seattle: 85% Oakland: 0%
Only one game separates the Angels and Mariners at this point, and that could very well remain so until the very end. Both teams are projected to win 94 games according to the game engine, which would put them both into the postseason as division winner and wildcard. But Seattle lost starter Charlie Lea to a back injury. The two bottom teams are well synchronized as Texas and Oakland each has lost 15 of its last 20 games. But is there still someone at the Athletics helm?
NL East: Montreal: 0% New York: 0% Philly: 92% St. Louis: 8%
The Cards have regained second place over the Montreal Expos, but have seen the gap between them and the leading Phillies widen to 11 games. That resulted in the Phillies improving their chances even more here in the predictions. Could this race already be over? St. Louis proceeded to a kind of cleanup in the pitching staff, releasing three pitchers, including veteran and former ace Bert Blyleven. The Expos are only a game behind the Cardinals, but do not pack the same kind of lineup. The Mets have an offense even weaker than that of the Expos. Rookie 3B Mike Pagliarulo isn’t helping with his .196 batting average.
NL Central: Atlanta: 42% Chicago: 0% Cincinnati: 42% Pittsburgh: 16%
Appearing as if they were in trouble for the postseason, the Braves gained 27 points in the predictions to get back in the thick of things. But they hadn’t really been in trouble... The Reds continue to lead the division by 1.5 games over Atlanta. The Pirates have lost 5 in a row, putting them 4 games out at this point. Pittsburgh also lost the services of RF Sixto Lezcano who will miss a month with a separated shoulder. The Cubs are only 4.5 games back, but don’t seem to be considered dangerous at this point. Chicago has a hell of a lineup, but is rather thin on the mound, which may explain why the team isn’t doing better in the predictions.
NL West: Houston: 0% Los Angeles: 100% San Diego: 0% San Francisco: %0
The entire NL West isn’t playing well lately, and that includes the Dodgers. But despite their 12 losses over their last 20 games, there are no worries about one of the other three teams catching up with them. The Giants called up 22 year old Terry Steinbach to start behind the plate, but the promising rookie went down with a broken hip and will miss the next three months. Last but not least, the Astros still haven’t called up 1B Kelvin Moore and C Mickey Tettleton, both obtained in a trade in April. Those players, as well as pitchers Zane Smith and Mike Mason, could certainly do much better than some of the players the team has been using this season.
Chances at the WildCard:
AL: California: 35% Cleveland: 23% Milwaukee: 23% Seattle: 10% Minnesota: 6% Boston: 2% Detroit: 1%
NL: Cincinnati: 33% Atlanta: 32% Pittsburgh: 22% St. Louis: 10% Chicago: 2% Philadelphia: 1%
Add your chance at the division to your chance at the wildcard, and you have your chance to make the playoffs this season.
World Series Titles: Minnestota-21 Seattle-19 Toronto-12 Philadelphia-11 Los Angeles-10 Cincinnati-9 Atlanta-5 St.Louis-4 Pittsburgh-3 Milwaukee-3 Cleveland-1 Boston-1 California-1
Awards:
AL MVP: Rickey Henderson (CAL)--37% NL MVP: Dale Murphy (PHI)--89%
AL Cy Young: Rick Langford (MIN)--39% NL Cy Young: Roger Miller (CIN)—35%
AL ROY: Mike Davis (KC)--59% NL ROY: Kevin McReynolds (STL)-79%
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Post by Exposgm on Aug 2, 2010 22:26:40 GMT -5
Here are the predictions for July 15, 1984.
AL East: Baltimore: 0% Boston: 7% New York: 0% Detroit: 21% Toronto: 72%
The Tigers have been leading the division over the last month, but their chances according to the sim tool had not improved before now. Detroit acquired RF Claudell Washington and that could make the difference in the end. Although the team’s pitching hasn’t been brilliant so far, the staff does lead the division in team ERA. Toronto and Boston aren’t far behind, back respectively by only 2 and 4 games. The Blue Jays are enjoying a fine season, but lack some power. Only the lowly Rangers and A’s have hit less homeruns in the AL than the Blue Jays. The Red Sox have lost 2B Keith Drumright to a neck injury. At this point, it seems likely that only one of these 3 teams will make it to the postseason. Baltimore is battling injuries. After OF Ellis Valentine, the Orioles have now lost RF Mike Marshall (shoulder) and C Dave Huppert (hip). The Yankees still have a shot at fourth place, but now that C Ernie Whitt has taken over Lance Parrish’s spot, another awful season looks to be in the making for the perennial bottom franchise.
AL Central: Chicago: 0% Cleveland: 2% Kansas City: 0% Milwaukee: 9% Minnesota: 89%
Best team in the AL, the Twins aren’t slowing down and need not to with the Brewers only 7 games back with the second best record in the AL. Minnesota has been without RF Jeff Burroughs for 3 weeks, but others like Ruppert Jones and Greg Gross have picked up the pace. Who will win the Cy Young between teammates Ken Schrom and Rick Langford? Milwaukee is currently leading the wildcard race by 4.5 games over both the Angels and Indians, two teams that have slowed down recently. Cleveland could still make it to the postseason, but will need their starters to start throwing like we know they can. The White Sox are doing well lately and could and are almost playing for .500. The Royals are showing good flashes at times, but will need Barry Bonds to shake things up, as he’s experiencing the sophomore jinx.
AL West: California: 8% Texas: 0% Seattle: 92% Oakland: 0%
No one is really playing well lately in the AL West. Seattle is still on top and leading the Angels by 4 games. The Mariners bullpen is particularly efficient this season and is by far the best in the league. Bad news for the Angels: C Carlton Fisk will miss the next two weeks with a sprained finger. The team was already without 1B Kent Hrbek these last two weeks because of a foot injury. Texas lost 9 games in a row but is still way ahead of the terrible Oakland A’s. These two teams will finish in third and fourth place for some while.
NL East: Montreal: 1% New York: 0% Philly: 97% St. Louis: 2%
Few people would have thought that the Cardinals would only be playing 3 games above .500 at this point of the season. The same can be said about the Expos playing 3 games above .500 at the same moment. In one case, this is obviously a disappointment and in the other, a surprise. Both teams are playing well lately, but nobody is playing better than the Phillies who have pretty much locked up the division. Nevertheless, St. Louis and Montreal find themselves only 5.5 games back for the wildcard spot, which mean they could play a role in this race the rest of the way. Even the Expos who stood at virtually no chances for the postseason here in the predictions are beginning to see that the odds are improving. As for the Mets, it’s a sure last-place finish, despite some promising youngsters.
NL Central: Atlanta: 19% Chicago: 0% Cincinnati: 78% Pittsburgh: 3%
Things have been moving quite a lot in the predictions as far as the NL Central is concerned. The latest change is that the Reds appear to have taken control of the division. They were the only team to improve their chances for the division title (and by quite a lot), and they also lead over second place by 5.5 games, which is the smallest such margin in the National League. The Braves have started a few rookies, most of whom are doing well, but the team seems unable to catch up with Cincinnati. They do, however, remain the favorite to win the wildcard berth. The Pirates took a fall in the predictions but are still well within range for a postseason participation. It will be tough, however. Dave Dravecky, obtained from the Mets to give a hand to the rotation, is going to miss 3 weeks with back problems. The Cubs look to be out of the race by now, after losing 13 of their last 20 games and dropping to 13.5 games out.
NL West: Houston: 0% Los Angeles: 100% San Diego: 0% San Francisco: %0
The Dodgers are waiting for the postseason to begin as they continue to cruise to an easy division win. LA’s top two homeruns hitters are batting respectively 7th and 8th in the order. The pitching staff is dominating the rest of the league. The highest ERA on the rotation remains pretty good at 3.46. The Giants are playing better lately but have lost cleanup hitter Chili Davis to an elbow tendonitis. As for San Diego and Houston, both teams are losing more games than they can manage to win. Houston has an awful 22-70 record and has just lost its best starter Tom Hausman for a five week period.
Chances at the WildCard:
AL: Milwaukee: 64% California: 12% Minnesota: 8% Cleveland: 6% Seattle: 6% Toronto: 2% Boston: 1% Detroit: 1%
NL: Atlanta: 41% Pittsburgh: 21% Cincinnati: 16% St. Louis: 15% Montreal: 6% Philadelphia: 1%
Add your chance at the division to your chance at the wildcard, and you have your chance to make the playoffs this season.
World Series Titles: Minnestota-21 Philadelphia-19 Los Angeles-16 Cincinnati-13 Seattle-13 Milwaukee-6 Toronto-5 Atlanta-2 St.Louis-1 Pittsburgh-1 Boston-1
**Missing 2 World Series now, waiting to hear from FBI about it...
Awards:
AL MVP: Eddie Murray (SEA)--31% NL MVP: Dale Murphy (PHI)--94%
AL Cy Young: Rick Langford (MIN)--58% NL Cy Young: Roger Miller (CIN)—49%
AL ROY: Jesse Barfield (NYY)--48% NL ROY: Steve Buechele (ATL)-52%
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Post by Paul - Jays GM on Aug 4, 2010 22:41:10 GMT -5
The Blue Jays are enjoying a fine season, but lack some power.
Terry - no love for your Canadian cousins? come on, this team is built around one thing - pitching. Who needs power when you've got the arms that I've got?
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Post by Exposgm on Aug 4, 2010 22:58:01 GMT -5
The Blue Jays are enjoying a fine season, but lack some power. Terry - no love for your Canadian cousins? come on, this team is built around one thing - pitching. Who needs power when you've got the arms that I've got? Nothing personal, Paul. The Jays are enjoying a fine season isn't an understatement. They're on pace for 87 wins. That could be enough for the division, which is good enough, but it isn't what I'd call great. As for the pitching, great names, but the results aren't exactly impressive... for the moment. It doesn't mean it'll never be. I'm just speaking for the current season.
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Post by Exposgm on Aug 5, 2010 14:44:45 GMT -5
Here are the predictions for July 31, 1984.
AL East: Baltimore: 0% Boston: 25% New York: 0% Detroit: 10% Toronto: 65%
The Red Sox have gained some momentum here in the predictions, the only team to do so in the AL East, and have more than tripled their chances at the division in only two weeks. The Tigers have fallen behind but only 1 game out of the co-leaders, Boston and Toronto. The Blue Jays are well-positioned but lost 3 regulars that won’t be able to take the field for another week: 1B Razor Shines (knee), C Ted Simmons (hand) and 2B Damaso Garcia (hand) will miss between 5 to 10 days. As for the Tigers, they will be without DH Luis Rosado for another week. There were a few injuries also to report in Baltimore, but the O’s aren’t in the race as they are 10 games out. They remain ahead of the Yankees, but New York is playing well lately and still has an outside shot at fourth place.
AL Central: Chicago: 0% Cleveland: 0% Kansas City: 0% Milwaukee: 7% Minnesota: 93%
Even though the Twins aren’t playing well right now and have seen their lead melt to only 3.5 games over the Brewers, the sim tool improved their chances at the division, even completely taking Cleveland out for the first time in a long, long while. The Twins choose to replace injured OF Jeff Burroughs with speedster Vince Coleman, but “Vincent Van Go” hasn’t responded well, hitting only .198. The Twins will now have to find another closer for the next month: Dan Plesac suffered a serious knee injury and will miss five total weeks. The Brewers also lost a pitcher, as rookie Dave Stewart will miss two weeks with a spiked Achilles tendon. Milwaukee continued to improve its chances at the wildcard. The Indians do have a shot at that wildcard spot and are currently the closest pursuers 4.5 games back. The White Sox are shopping Dennis Martinez around, but “El Presidente” suffered a fractured foot and will miss the next two weeks. The Royals will almost certainly finish last, but some youngsters are giving hope to the fans in KC.
AL West: California: 1% Texas: 0% Seattle: 99% Oakland: 0%
The only AL West team playing well lately is also the one that has the lead. Winners of 14 of their last 20 games, the Mariners have increased their lead to 7 games on the Angels. But the Angels have come back from a greater distance in the past. Still, with only 2 months left, California will have to make its move soon, or they may fall short. The Rangers have lost 6 straight games and are far, far behind at this point. Six regular hitters in the Texas lineup are betting below .260 and their top 3 batting average hitters occupy positions 6-8. We’ll see what new management will do in Oakland, but a good start could be removing Bobby Castillo from the DL and Mark Portugal from the rotation, where he’s getting destroyed.
NL East: Montreal: 0% New York: 0% Philly: 99% St. Louis: 1%
Hottest team in the NL with 15 wins over their last 20 games, the Cardinals may be launching the assault they needed to get back in the race for a playoff spot. In fact, they have reclaimed the lead for the wildcard here in the predictions. The Phillies still lead the division by a full 11 games, but St. Louis is only 3.5 games back from the wildcard. A few Phillies hitters are down with injuries, but nothing too serious. Recently acquired by the Cards, Juan Berenguer suffered a broken hand after his third start with his new team. The Expos are back below .500 and keep having injury problems in the rotation. The Mets have no hope for third place and are facing injuries to SS Barry Larkin, CF Tony Walker and SP Mike Maddux.
NL Central: Atlanta: 37% Chicago: 0% Cincinnati: 54% Pittsburgh: 9%
There is still a lot of fluctuation in the NL Central. The Braves ate off some of the Reds lead and were the only team from that division playing well lately. Cincinnati saw its lead diminish to only 2 games on the Braves and 3.5 up on the Pirates. Reds 2B Rance Mulliniks will miss the next two weeks with an ankle injury. The Pirates will face both the Reds and Braves and August and this could determine the outcome of the season for these teams. The Cubs remain the best last-place team in TMBL but can only hope that next season will be better for them.
NL West: Houston: 0% Los Angeles: 100% San Diego: 0% San Francisco: %0
Still the only NL West team to play well lately, the Dodgers hold a 17 game lead over the second place Giants. SS Garry Templeton (shoulder) and C Bill Schroeder (knee) will be back soon. Can you believe no starter on the Dodgers has an ERA higher than 3.31? Giants 1B Daryl Sconiers is enjoying his best season so far, hitting for a .345 average which is fifth best in the NL. Starter Frank Wills has suffered a separated shoulder and will miss the next two weeks. The Padres lost 5 games in a row but aren’t in danger of finishing last. 1B Greg Brock leads the team in most offensive categories, batting .327 with 21 homeruns and 73 RBI. The Astros continue to play the poorest baseball. Three of their starters are on their way to losing 20+ games this season.
Chances at the WildCard:
AL: Milwaukee: 64% California: 13% Cleveland: 13% Minnesota: 7% Seattle: 1% Boston: 1% Detroit: 1%
NL: St. Louis: 36% Atlanta: 28% Cincinnati: 19% Pittsburgh: 15% Montreal: 1% Philadelphia: 1%
Add your chance at the division to your chance at the wildcard, and you have your chance to make the playoffs this season.
World Series Titles: Seattle-23 Philadelphia-19 Minnestota-16 Los Angeles-11 St.Louis-9 Cincinnati-8 Milwaukee-6 Toronto-4 Atlanta-2 Pittsburgh-1
**Missing 1 World Series... boobie, what have you done with it?
Awards:
AL MVP: Leon Durham (MIL)--45% NL MVP: Dale Murphy (PHI)--98%
A third player finally joins in the AL race for the MVP. Up until now, Eddie Murray and Rickey Henderson had been splitting the lead. Murray dropped to fourth place this sim. As for Dale Murphy, there is almost no competition, but the little there is comes from another D. Murphy: Dwayne, from the Cardinals.
AL Cy Young: Rick Langford (MIN)--57% NL Cy Young: Roger Miller (CIN)—39%
Teammates Ken Schrom and Rick Langford have been leading most of this race all year long and the two of them remain the favorites to grab the AL Cy Young award. Roger Miller continues to lead in the NL, but two other pitchers are getting closer.
AL ROY: Jesse Barfield (NYY)--37% NL ROY: Steve Buechele (ATL)-71%
Close race between Barfield and Mike Davis from the Royals. Davis lead this all year until recently when Barfield made its appearance. Only two players are involved in the NL, but Buechele has an enormous lead over the early favorite Kevin McReynolds.
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Post by sj on Aug 5, 2010 14:49:30 GMT -5
Oh hell, you had to say it didn't you? The last time you bragged on my chances, my team died.
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Post by boobiegibson4three on Aug 5, 2010 20:40:10 GMT -5
That last world series is a players lockout...The players are getting fed up by getting signed for only a million for 7 years when there about the enter their prime or maybe the Yankees make it all the way to the world series, and the baseball world says thats too weird and they cancel the WS... or ? its better then 2 WS's missing lol
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