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Post by boobiegibson4three on Feb 18, 2010 16:53:33 GMT -5
some interesting results...some new teams with a SHOT at the world series...i thought that couldnt happen ...lol. Anyhow Boston 54 Detroit 46 NYY Bal Tor Detroit actually is projected to get one more win then Boston. Yankees predicted to finish a strong third, but not a winning record...even with their atrocious start of 1-11. Toronto just needs time, and Baltimore might end up in last place Cleveland 61 Minnesota 33 Chicago 4 Mil. 2 KC This will be interesting with 4 legit contenders for the division crown. Money is again on cleveland. Brewers have stud 1B McGriff waiting in AAA just wishing he can help the big club this year. Chicago has the best overall player in Dawson, and a great 1-2 starting pitching punch. Royals have Bonds, along with Tramell but not much else. Seattle 68 Cali 32 Tex Oak Two 100 projected loss teams here. Oakland is really bad, and I mean really bad. They need to flip some of there big guns and start the rebuilding process 100%. Seattle looks to be the better of the two expansion teams from a couple years ago. Philly 47 Canadians 34 St. Louis 19 NYM LOOK LOOK, The Expos arent predicted to win this year...But my money is they will somehow win the division again. The Cards who i thought couldnt compete with the two juggernauts have a shot, a pretty damn good one too. Mets wont be down for too long with a new owner. Cin 34 Pit 34 ATL 32 Cubs LOOK LOOK, Braves arent predicted to win the division, or get the wild card. The Pirates, who some said were a fluke in the playoffs two years ago are projected champs. No matter what this is going be a dogfight. La 59 Hous 39 Frisco 2 Padres La looks to return to the playoffs again...Young sensation Bedrosian has not allowed a run in 2 starts (16 innings pitched). Houston has the talent to make the playoffs, and due some damage once there. Dont count out frisco, as the owner has shown he will make a trade to win now. Padres will be back soon, and back to their winning ways. wild card al Minnesota 28 Detroit 21 Cleveland 20 Boston 13 Milwaukee 7 Chicago 5 Cali 5 Seattle 1 wild card nl ATL 42 Cin 33 Pitt 25 world series odds Atl 19 Cle 16 Minn 14 Cinn 14 Boston 10 Seattle 8 Pitt 9 Det 5 La 2 Philly 2 Hous 1 982 AL MVP Jason Thompson 33 Willie Aikens 27 Kirk Gibson 15 Rickey Henderson 7 Brian Downing 5 Darrell Porter 4 Luis Rosado 3 Tony Armas 3 Andre Dawson 1 Gary Ward 1 Gary Gaetti 1 1982 NL MVP Jeffrey Leonard 31 Eddie Murray 30 Dale Murphy 14 Dwayne Murphy 12 Sixto Lezcano 5 Mark Corey 3 Fred Lynn 2 Lee Mazzilli 1 Robin Yount 1 Pedro Guerrero 1 1982 AL CY YOUNG Mike McQueen 21 Dan Larson 19 Doyle Alexander 15 Tom Candiotti 11 Bill Travers 9 Ken Schrom 6 Danny Darwin 4 Ed Lynch 3 Greg Harris 3 Bob Walk 2 Gordie Pladson 2 Charlie Lea 1 Frank Pastore 1 Lloyd Allen 1 Barry Cort 1 Milt Wilcox 1 1982 NL CY YOUNG Roger Miller 22 Pascual Perez 20 Kip Young 19 Tom Hausman 6 Rick Langford 6 Moose Haas 5 Jerry Augustine 4 Rick Reuschel 3 Dan Schatzeder 3 Paul Thormodsgard 2 Nino Espinosa 2 Larry Christenson 2 Joe Price 2 Dave Stieb 1 Jack Morris 1 Scott Sanderson 1 Roger Slagle 1 1982 AL ROOKIE OF THE YEAR Ryne Sandberg 46 Lance Parrish 39 Alan Trammell 13 Leon Durham 2 1982 NL ROOKIE OF THE YEAR Terry Kennedy 60 Lloyd Moseby 21 Willie McGee 14 Kevin Bass 2 Tony Johnson 1 Larry Pashnick 1 Dale Berra 1 1982 AL .400 HITTERS 1982 NL .400 HITTERS
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Post by joshb914 on Feb 19, 2010 20:53:08 GMT -5
anyone who said Pittsburgh's playoff appearance two years ago was a "fluke" simply didn't do too much research. That being said, we are quite used to the irrational haters who continue to try and pick at us, despite the fact that we have CLEARLY been on the way up for quite some time now.
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Post by zekeb311 on Feb 20, 2010 16:10:02 GMT -5
Oaklands so bad they might just trade cecil cooper for jesus vega. Naw just kidding.
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Post by boobiegibson4three on Feb 20, 2010 19:00:25 GMT -5
well you did do a 2nd, gamble, and stoneman for a washed up kubiak and soon to be washed up matthews so you never know...plus i offered a lot more than that for cooper
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Post by zekeb311 on Feb 20, 2010 20:10:48 GMT -5
wasnt that the year the A's won a world series?
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Post by Exposgm on Feb 27, 2010 0:06:21 GMT -5
Here are the predictions for May 15, 1982.
AL East: Baltimore: 0% Boston: 43% New York: 0% Detroit: 57% Toronto: 0%
Leading by a full game and predicted to finish tied with Boston, the Tigers are nevertheless somewhat the favorites here according to the simulator. Maybe the Red Sox really should be worried, as they seem unable to shake some pitching worries so far, especially in the bullpen. The last time the Tigers had such a great start to a season, they were in the playoffs. The rest of the division is slowly improving, except for the Orioles, but they still have some work to do before they catch up with the two leaders.
AL Central: Chicago: 2% Cleveland: 67% Kansas City: 0% Milwaukee: 1% Minnesota: 30%
Currently the strongest division in TMBL, the AL Central boasts four teams that have a real shot at the playoffs. The Indians are the current leaders and early favorite to take away the division, but it should be a year-long race between them and the Twins. As of this sim, the Brewers chances aren’t looking good, but it’s still early and these are very active owners, so it could change very fast. Even the White Sox have a shot, but they would need the pitching to stabilize a little.
AL West: California: 14% Texas: 0% Seattle: 86% Oakland: 0%
Hurrah! The Seattle Mariners and California Angels are both enjoying good starts and helping this division look slightly better than in the recent past. That is if you don’t look past second-place. Nevertheless, Seattle holds the best record in TMBL so far, and is looking extremely good at this point to make the playoffs for the first time in team history. Don’t count the Angels out, though. I’ve seen teams with less than a 14% shot at this time of the year come out as clear winners of their division before.
NL East: Montreal: 70% New York: 0% Philly: 0% St. Louis: 4%
It’s hard to figure out why the simulator favors the Expos by such a big margin. They and the Phillies are currently tied with a mediocre .500 record and Philadelphia is the team projected to take the division with a mere 85 wins. Things are expected to be close until the very end between those two. Another strange thing coming out of the simulator is the 4% shot by the Cardinals, whose current 8-29 record leads TMBL by the bottom.
NL Central: Atlanta: 25% Chicago: 0% Cincinnati: 24% Pittsburgh: 51%
Behold! The NL Central is undergoing a physical transformation: Pittsburgh’s chances to win the division are higher than those of the Reds and Braves combined! Obviously, it could happen as the Pirates are loaded but then again, those percentages could get reversed within a sim or two. Even the Cubs are stacked, but the pitching is awful (worst in the NL) and should cost the team a legit shot at the postseason. Maybe next year?
NL West: Houston: 50% Los Angeles: 40% San Diego: 0% San Francisco: 10%
The Astros are the only team in this division projected to finish with a losing record, yet they only show a 1 in 2 chance of taking the division. Things should be close in this division for a while, until someone decides to run away with it. It only takes the right deal, or a key injury, to shift the momentum around. Speaking of momentum, the Giants have won their last 7 games, and that may be what they needed to recover from a tough start. Look for the predictions to change a lot from one sim to the other.
Chances at the WildCard:
AL: Minnesota: 38% Cleveland: 21% Boston: 14% Detroit: 9% Chicago: 9% Milwaukee: 8% Seattle: 1%
NL: Atlanta: 34% Cincy: 35% Pittsburgh: 31%
Add your chance at the division to your chance at the wildcard, and you have your chance to make the playoffs this season.
World Series Titles: Pittsburgh-28 Cleveland-22 Cincinnati-11 Atlanta-10 Minnesota-8 Boston-7 Seattle-7 Detroit-6 San Fransisco-1
Awards:
AL MVP: Jason Thompson (CLE)--66% NL MVP: Eddie Murray (HOU)--85%
AL Cy Young: Mike McQueen (BOS)--28% NL Cy Young: Kip Young (PIT) / Roger Miller (CIN)--30%
AL ROY: Lance Parrish (NYY)--44% NL ROY: Lloyd Moseby (PIT)--51%
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Post by TribeGM on Mar 18, 2010 22:37:44 GMT -5
I miss these Threads! and the look back at draft threads so maybe we should give bonuses.
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Post by Scott on Mar 18, 2010 23:20:11 GMT -5
We still are giving bonuses currently and they still aren't being written. I don't have any time to write them anymore and it appears no one else does either.
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Post by MarinersGM on Mar 19, 2010 8:08:43 GMT -5
I'll take over the prediction thread if you guys want.
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Post by Scott on Mar 19, 2010 9:29:31 GMT -5
Go for it. It would certainly be fun to read.
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Post by sj on Mar 19, 2010 13:08:57 GMT -5
We still are giving bonuses currently and they still aren't being written. I don't have any time to write them anymore and it appears no one else does either. Yeah, you see, the thing is, I mean not attacking you or anything, but you talked about eliminating buy downs, then they were just gone, no notice, no warning, just zap, you can't do that now. So when you talked about eliminating bonuses, owners probably figured, well, those are gone now too. I know I did. And then, you see, the other thing is that you haven't marked any of the few articles written this season as "bonus credited", and those go back as far as Feb 23, almost three and a half weeks ago, which kind of reinforces having people assume the bonuses were already killed.
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Post by Scott on Mar 19, 2010 14:53:20 GMT -5
My e-mail and the post clearly said starting next season.
Not many articles have been written over the past 5 seasons. This isn't something that is a new thing. Many of us who were the most active owners were still in college and didn't have anything better to do.
The league has gotten older and so have the owners in it. Times change, and there isn't as much activity as there once was, especially in the article department which has seen the most significant impact.
I use to think about all kinds of things to write. That is the last thing crossing my mind right now and it has been that way for 3-4 seasons now.
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Post by joshb914 on Mar 19, 2010 16:20:30 GMT -5
I'll take over the prediction thread if you guys want. Please do! I miss these articles! scott just doesnt want to make these threads because he can't stand to have to give the Pirates any credit!
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Post by sj on Mar 19, 2010 16:33:39 GMT -5
My e-mail and the post clearly said starting next season. Your email and post about your decision was four days ago. You started the thread about getting rid of the bonuses four weeks ago, and you were very clear about your preference. You haven't been marking articles with the bonus credited reply since you began the thread, the last one you marked was written on Feb 8th. Not many articles have been written over the past 5 seasons. True, not many. More than this season, but this season Terry is half gone at the moment, you're doing your Yahoo! fantasy league and OSML team, and have passed the cash cap so you're not going to make any money writing them, I think Mosko is still on the road and posting sims from sleazy 1 star motels , and I'm so close to the cash cap that any money made from them would be lost next season. Even with all of that, I still think there's generally a why bother attitude among former contributers, due to confusion, or boredom, or other reasons not having to do with omg i gots no tyme.
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Post by boobiegibson4three on Mar 19, 2010 18:47:55 GMT -5
i wish i could write more articles, but with g/fs, grad school/ real job, becoming a legit alcoholic.... i mean i really dont think anyone has motivation to write an article for the 500k, they do it b/c its fun, and others usually appreciate it.
FYI for the lurkers out there, when someone writes an article, write feedback on it. A simple that was cool is awesome or a i dont agree response is appreciated. It sucks to spend a half hour to an hour on an article and have nobody make a response.
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Post by MarinersGM on Mar 19, 2010 18:53:46 GMT -5
Here are the predictions for August 15th, 1982.
AL East: Baltimore: 0% Boston: 53% New York: 0% Detroit: 47% Toronto: 0%
In a two horse race Detroit leads Boston by 3 games. Boston is also three games back in the wild card. The Yankees are in 3rd place 16 games back but they’re still ahead of Baltimore and Toronto!
AL Central: Chicago: 0% Cleveland: 100% Kansas City: 0% Milwaukee: 0% Minnesota: 0%
It looks like Cleveland decided to run away with this one and they have the best odds of winning a world title 34%. The Brewers are in second place 13 games back and they hold a two game lead over California in the wild card race.
AL West: California: 8% Texas: 0% Seattle: 92% Oakland: 0%
Seattle has a 92% chance to win the division but the owner is still not willing to sell any playoff tickets just yet. California is in second place 7 games back in the division and battling the Brew crew for the wild card. We’ll talk about the rest of the division at a later date.
NL East: Montreal: 97% New York: 0% Philly: 3% St. Louis: 0%
The Expos have taken control of the East again and lead the up and coming Phills by 10 games. The Phillies should give Montreal a run for their money next season. While St.louis is getting better and has some very good talent in the minors they are in dire need of a third baseman. The Mets are battling it out with the A’s and Rangers for the first pick in the draft.
NL Central: Atlanta: 0% Chicago: 0% Cincinnati: 74% Pittsburgh: 26%
Cincinnati holds a slim two game lead at the moment over Pittsburgh. One of these two will take the wildcard. The big news is that the Braves are 14 games back and out of contention. The Cubs are nipping at the Brave heals for third!
NL West: Houston: 75% Los Angeles: 1% San Diego: 24% San Francisco: 0%
Houston has a two game lead over the second place Padres. The Padres still have a chance but it’s a slim chance. The Giants and Dodgers are fighting it out for last place. Giants ace Scott Sanderson is having an off year 7-13 with a 4.10.
Chances at the Wildcard:
AL: Milwaukee: 32% California: 24% Boston: 20% Detroit: 19% Chicago: 3% Seattle: 2%
NL: Pittsburgh:73% Cincy: 26% Atlanta: 1%
Add your chance at the division to your chance at the wildcard, and you have your chance to make the playoffs this season.
World Series Titles:
Cleveland-34 Cincinnati-24 Pittsburgh-20 Boston-7 Seattle-9 Detroit-3 California-1 Montreal-1
Awards: AL MVP: Rickey Henderson (CAL)—45% AL MVP: Jason Thompson (CLE)--31%
NL MVP: Eddie Murray (HOU)--99%
AL Cy Young: Doyle Alexander (CLE)--47% NL Cy Young: Kip Young (PIT)--99%
AL ROY: Lance Parrish (NYY)--65% NL ROY: Daryl Sconiers (SFG)--64%
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Post by TribeGM on Mar 19, 2010 19:04:59 GMT -5
Thanks Rich!!
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Post by sj on Mar 20, 2010 13:33:54 GMT -5
While St.louis is getting better and has some very good talent in the minors they are in dire need of a third baseman Nah, it's not a 3B I need right now. Castillo is batting .333, tied for 5th in the NL and 8th overall, and his Fpct will get better (he's still a pre-peak rookie). Around 1986, I'll be in desperate need of a third baseman. Next season my overall defense should be a lot better, but I need my team's so-called power core to start performing somewhere near their predictions. The pitching will fall into place once I get my DA up, but guys like Murphy continuing to tank on me could make sure I stay third in the division.
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Post by boobiegibson4three on Mar 20, 2010 17:16:53 GMT -5
i think most gm's "power guys" are not fulfilling their potential. We need to get rid of balls in humidors lol.
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Post by MarinersGM on Mar 21, 2010 13:43:21 GMT -5
Here are the predictions for September 1st, 1982.
AL East: Baltimore: 0% Boston: 48% New York: 0% Detroit: 52% Toronto: 0%
Detroit is holding onto a one game lead over Boston but gained 5% in the prediction thread. This one will go down to the wire. They do not play each other the rest of the way.
AL Central: Chicago: 0% Cleveland: 100% Kansas City: 0% Milwaukee: 0% Minnesota: 0%
Cleveland is just chomping at the bit for the playoffs as this one has been wrapped up for awhile. The Brewers are having a very good season and should wrap up the wildcard. They gained 54% in the wildcard prediction thread and hold a four and a half game lead over the Angels.
AL West: California: 2% Texas: 0% Seattle: 98% Oakland: 0%
Seattle gained 8% in the prediction thread and holds a six and a half game lead over the second place Angels. California’s chances are dwindling but never say never when you have Rickey Henderson on your team. He’s hitting .335 (6th overall) 27 hr’s (9th overall) 60 sb’s (1st overall) 128 runs (1st overall). Can you say AL MVP? Rickey Can!
NL East: Montreal: 94% New York: 0% Philly: 6% St. Louis: 0%
The Phillies gained 3% in the Prediction thread and three games in the standings but Montreal’s hold on the division looks too strong. Rick Langford is having another good year for the Expos with an 11-5 record and 2.60 era.
NL Central: Atlanta: 0% Chicago: 0% Cincinnati: 89% Pittsburgh: 11%
Cincinnati’s lead is now four and a half over Pittsburgh and they still have five games left against each other. Pittsburgh holds a whopping ten game lead over the Braves for the wildcard. If the Cubs hope to catch the Braves for third place they better hurry. The last time the Cubs finished in third was 1978.
NL West: Houston: 93% Los Angeles: 5% San Diego: 2% San Francisco: 0%
Houston’s lead over the Padres has bulged to six games and they gained 18% in the prediction thread. Houston should win the division but will they even have a .500 record? The Padres finished in last place last year and are trying to hold onto second over the Dodgers.
Chances at the Wildcard:
AL: Pct. / Change Milwaukee: 84% / +54% California: 8% / -16% Boston: 4% / -16% Detroit: 4% / -15%
NL: Pct. / Change Pittsburgh: 89% / +16% Cincy: 11% / -15%
Add your chance at the division to your chance at the wildcard, and you have your chance to make the playoffs this season.
World Series Titles: Pct. / Change Cleveland-34% / 0 Cincinnati-24% / 0 Pittsburgh-14% / -6% Boston-13% / +6% Seattle-10% / +1% Montreal-5% / +4% California-0% / -1% Detroit-0% / -3%
Awards: AL MVP: Rickey Henderson (CAL)--71% AL MVP: Andre Dawson (CWS)--17% AL MVP: Jason Thompson (CLE)--12%
NL MVP: Eddie Murray (HOU)--100%
AL Cy Young: Larry Sorensen (NYY)—28% AL Cy Young: Tom Filer (CLE)--23%
NL Cy Young: Kip Young (PIT)--97%
AL ROY: Lance Parrish (NYY)--77% AL ROY: Ryne Sandberg (Seatl)—16% NL ROY: Daryl Sconiers (SFG)--44% NL ROY: Terry Kennedy (STL)—44%
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Post by Scott on Mar 24, 2010 17:37:30 GMT -5
1 article bonus to Expos
1 article bonus to Twins
2 article bonuses to Mariners
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Post by MarinersGM on Mar 26, 2010 11:10:41 GMT -5
Here are the predictions for September 15th, 1982.
AL East: Baltimore: 0% Boston: 62% New York: 0% Detroit: 38% Toronto: 0%
Boston holds a slim .5 game lead over Detroit with only two weeks to go. The winner goes to the playoffs and the loser goes home! Boston is favored in the prediction thread but they have to play a 3 game series against the Indians and a 3 game series with the Angels. Detroit has 1 game with the Jays, 6 games with the Yankees and 6 games with the Royals.
AL Central: Chicago: 0% Cleveland: 100% Kansas City: 0% Milwaukee: 0% Minnesota: 0%
Cleveland has 103 wins and is on pace to win 111 games, that’s the fifth time in team history they have won over 100 games in a season. The brewers have the second best record in baseball with 94 wins and are on pace to win 101 games. They went over the century mark one other time back in 1979. The Brewers have the Wild card locked up.
AL West: California: 0% Texas: 0% Seattle: 100% Oakland: 0%
With two weeks left in the season it looks like Seattle will win the western division for the first time in the teams short 6 year history. Seattle has 91 wins already and is on pace for 99 wins. California had a very good season and will be battling Seattle for the division for a long time to come.
NL East: Montreal: 99% New York: 0% Philly: 1% St. Louis: 0%
Montreal has this one just about sown up again. Philadelphia is 7 games back and clinging to a 1% chance at winning the division. “ So you’re saying there’s a chance”
NL Central: Atlanta: 0% Chicago: 0% Cincinnati: 64% Pittsburgh: 36%
Cincinnati’s lead over Pittsburgh is down to 1 game. Pittsburgh took 3 out of 4 games from Cincinnati in Cincinnati. Even though the prediction thread favors Cincinnati I think the Pirates will take this Division.
NL West: Houston: 100% Los Angeles: 0% San Diego: 0% San Francisco: 0%
Houston’s lead over the Padres is now 5.5 games and they have the division all but locked up. They may even finish a game over .500!!
Chances at the Wildcard:
AL: Pct. Milwaukee: 100%
NL: Pct. Pittsburgh: 64% Cincinnati: 36%
Add your chance at the division to your chance at the wildcard, and you have your chance to make the playoffs this season.
World Series Titles: Pct. Cleveland- 36% Cincinnati- 26% Pittsburgh- 15% Seattle- 9% Boston- 8% Montreal- 2% Milwaukee- 2% Houston- 1% Detroit- 1%
Awards: AL MVP: Rickey Henderson (CAL)--96% AL MVP: Andre Dawson (CWS)--3% AL MVP: Jason Thompson (CLE)--1%
NL MVP: Eddie Murray (HOU)--100%
AL Cy Young: Doyle Alexander (CLE)—32% AL Cy Young: Tom Filer (CLE)--31%
NL Cy Young: Kip Young (PIT)--100%
AL ROY: Lance Parrish (NYY)--74% AL ROY: Ryne Sandberg (Seatl)—18% NL ROY: Daryl Sconiers (SFG)--67% NL ROY: Terry Kennedy (STL)—26%
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Post by Scott on Apr 10, 2010 13:23:42 GMT -5
Article bonus credited
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